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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+6.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.64vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+3.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+6.54vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+6.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+2.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.01+6.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99-1.45vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-4.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-3.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.68vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-2.57vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.70-1.91vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.28vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.71-4.59vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Roger Williams University1.977.0%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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6.03Tulane University2.0211.1%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University0.932.8%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.2%1st Place
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8.58Boston University1.144.7%1st Place
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13.23North Carolina State University0.011.6%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.999.1%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.3815.2%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.0910.2%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.047.8%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College1.133.8%1st Place
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11.09University of Wisconsin0.703.2%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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11.41Fordham University0.712.8%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 26.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.