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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+5.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+4.18vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.27vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.81+4.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.81vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+0.98vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.91vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.70-0.80vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.02-4.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.82vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-5.07vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-3.76vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.79-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.27Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.44Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.2University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.