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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+1.08vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+0.73vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.05vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.30-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08College of Charleston2.640.4%1st Place
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2.73Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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1.97Tulane University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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4.27Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 35.9% | 33.0% | 20.3% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 16.5% | 23.6% | 35.0% | 20.2% | 4.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 40.1% | 31.8% | 20.4% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.3% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 38.4% | 35.9% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 25.8% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.