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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+1.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.30+2.31vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70-1.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05College of Charleston2.640.4%1st Place
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4.31Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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1.95Tulane University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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2.76Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 36.1% | 32.8% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Purcell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 28.9% | 56.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 39.1% | 34.0% | 20.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.4% | 7.0% | 14.9% | 39.3% | 34.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 17.4% | 22.3% | 34.0% | 19.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.