← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.70+1.14vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.91+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.31+0.60vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.64-1.87vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Tulane University2.700.4%1st Place
-
2.95Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
3.6Jacksonville University1.310.1%1st Place
-
2.13College of Charleston2.640.4%1st Place
-
4.18University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 36.1% | 29.5% | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.6% | 21.3% | 29.8% | 23.4% | 10.9% |
| Madison Reynolds | 8.8% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 34.8% | 26.9% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 36.1% | 30.9% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 21.6% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.