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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+2.25vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.21+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.63vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.44+0.11vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+1.72vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.32-0.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.72vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9219.4%1st Place
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2.78Cornell University1.2128.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Pennsylvania1.1616.6%1st Place
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4.11Columbia University0.4412.2%1st Place
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6.72Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University-0.325.3%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2911.4%1st Place
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5.64SUNY Maritime College-0.524.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deana Fedulova | 19.4% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
Gilda Dondona | 28.1% | 22.4% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Adra Ivancich | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
Elizabeth Frost | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 18.9% | 51.6% |
Anna Robertson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 18.4% |
Annika VanderHorst | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.