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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.78+6.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.53+9.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.05+3.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.51vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.36+0.38vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+1.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.81+0.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.42-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Florida3.41-1.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62-4.09vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.04-3.14vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-0.64vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.81-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.4Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.86Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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5.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.420.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.43University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Manchester | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Mark Towill | 11.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Darby | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| William Heausler | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Blagden | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 19.1% | 54.1% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 28.9% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.