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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+6.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.50+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+5.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.70+4.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.66vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11+4.85vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.71-4.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-3.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-2.88vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.81-4.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.71vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.32vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.86vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.79-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.85Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.38Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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16.26University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 20.0% | 12.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.