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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+8.79vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+8.08vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+4.07vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.40+7.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+1.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.70+1.48vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.81-0.76vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-4.41vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-4.98vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.54vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.79-0.64vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.58College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.24Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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16.36University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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12.64Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 65.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.