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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.58vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.74+0.50vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.94-0.66vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.19+1.07vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.71vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.5McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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2.34Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.07Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.29Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.23Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 56.9% | 29.8% | 11.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 18.8% | 28.6% | 39.0% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 21.3% | 34.2% | 35.0% | 8.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erica Stone | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 19.6% | 35.9% | 39.2% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 44.5% | 28.2% | 12.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 14.4% | 32.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.