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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.61vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.74+0.50vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.19+2.08vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.94-1.66vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.75vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.5McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.08Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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2.34Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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4.25Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.21Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 55.8% | 29.6% | 12.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 17.8% | 30.9% | 37.2% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Erica Stone | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 16.2% | 36.2% | 41.1% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.5% | 31.9% | 35.7% | 8.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elliot Tindall | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 45.5% | 27.8% | 11.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 15.8% | 32.5% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.