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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.62vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.74+0.51vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.15vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.94-1.65vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.19+0.13vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.51McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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4.15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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2.35Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.13Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.24Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 55.4% | 29.5% | 12.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 17.8% | 30.8% | 37.2% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Elliot Tindall | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 47.7% | 26.9% | 8.4% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.0% | 32.4% | 35.7% | 8.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erica Stone | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 15.8% | 36.1% | 42.8% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 13.7% | 33.6% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.