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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.58vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.23vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.74-0.47vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.94-1.68vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.22vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.19-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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4.23Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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2.53McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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2.32Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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5.22Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.13Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 56.1% | 31.7% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 2.1% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 46.1% | 26.4% | 10.8% |
| Trevor Donovan | 17.6% | 28.3% | 39.6% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.9% | 32.7% | 35.0% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 14.1% | 33.4% | 47.9% |
| Erica Stone | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 17.5% | 37.0% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.