← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.89+0.55vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.94-0.68vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-2.19+1.12vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.74-2.40vs Predicted
-
6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.55Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
-
4.19Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
-
2.32Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
-
5.12Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
-
2.6McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
-
5.23Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 59.7% | 27.3% | 11.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 2.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 47.1% | 27.4% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 20.8% | 36.9% | 33.5% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erica Stone | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 16.2% | 36.6% | 41.9% |
| Trevor Donovan | 16.2% | 27.2% | 40.1% | 13.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.4% | 14.2% | 31.9% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.