← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.89+0.59vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.74+0.50vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.94-0.64vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+0.18vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-2.19+0.13vs Predicted
-
6Mercyhurst University-2.33-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.59Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
-
2.5McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
-
2.36Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
-
4.18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
-
5.13Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
-
5.24Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 56.7% | 29.1% | 12.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 19.2% | 28.2% | 37.6% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 21.2% | 33.7% | 34.8% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 46.8% | 28.2% | 8.2% |
| Erica Stone | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 16.1% | 35.5% | 42.8% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 33.2% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.