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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.59vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.94+0.32vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.74-0.48vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+0.20vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.23vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.19-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.32Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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2.52McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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4.2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.23Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.14Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 56.5% | 29.9% | 12.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.7% | 33.2% | 34.0% | 9.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 18.1% | 27.7% | 40.2% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 46.7% | 28.4% | 8.5% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 13.9% | 32.0% | 49.4% |
| Erica Stone | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 16.5% | 37.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.