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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.59vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.94+0.31vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.74-0.48vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.19+1.09vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.26vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.31Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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2.52McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.09Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.26Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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4.24Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 56.8% | 29.8% | 11.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.6% | 34.7% | 32.3% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 18.0% | 28.1% | 40.3% | 11.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Erica Stone | 0.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 16.3% | 37.4% | 40.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 13.6% | 30.9% | 50.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.7% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 46.9% | 29.0% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.