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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.58vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.94+0.33vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.74-0.49vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-2.33+1.19vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.72vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.19-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.33Queen's University0.940.2%1st Place
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2.51McGill University0.740.2%1st Place
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5.19Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.11Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 57.1% | 29.9% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 22.2% | 34.3% | 33.2% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 18.0% | 27.7% | 41.5% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 15.2% | 34.0% | 46.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 44.5% | 27.5% | 12.5% |
| Erica Stone | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 18.5% | 35.7% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.