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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+8.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+8.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.06vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+2.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.46vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+1.98vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40+2.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81+0.30vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-2.04vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.32vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.40vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.71-4.57vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-3.11vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.73-6.52vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.79-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.99Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.7Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.98University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.69College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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12.89Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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16.17University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 12.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.