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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83+0.33vs Predicted
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3Mercyhurst University-1.98+1.64vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.15-1.11vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.72vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.18-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.33McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.64Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
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2.89Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 78.6% | 16.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 13.7% | 48.9% | 29.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Hoover | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 27.5% | 44.3% | 17.8% |
| Sophie Hollett | 5.5% | 25.1% | 47.9% | 18.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.9% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 39.9% | 33.2% | 9.6% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 7.3% | 18.0% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.