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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.68+0.24vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.15+0.93vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47+1.19vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.83-1.65vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.30vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.18-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.93Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.19Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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2.35McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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4.7Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 79.6% | 16.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hollett | 5.2% | 25.5% | 45.8% | 19.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 2.1% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 41.2% | 32.6% | 7.2% |
| Sophie Heldman | 12.4% | 49.0% | 30.6% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.6% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 25.5% | 44.6% | 19.8% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 6.8% | 17.9% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.