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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83+0.33vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-3.18+2.54vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.15-1.13vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.71vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-1.98-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.33McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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2.87Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.29Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.72Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 78.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 13.7% | 49.2% | 28.8% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 71.2% |
| Sophie Hollett | 5.7% | 24.9% | 49.2% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.0% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 39.5% | 33.7% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 26.9% | 45.8% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.