← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.83+0.33vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.15-0.14vs Predicted
-
4Mercyhurst University-1.98+0.65vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.70vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-3.18-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.26Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
-
2.33McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
-
2.86Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
-
4.65Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
4.3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
-
5.59Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 77.8% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 14.0% | 48.4% | 29.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hollett | 6.9% | 24.5% | 47.7% | 17.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.4% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 26.5% | 45.5% | 17.2% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.8% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 41.8% | 32.2% | 10.1% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 7.2% | 18.2% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.