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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83+0.32vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.15-0.15vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.18+1.56vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.70vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-1.98-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.32McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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5.56Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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4.3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.7Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 77.6% | 18.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 14.1% | 48.6% | 28.9% | 7.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hollett | 7.0% | 24.2% | 49.0% | 17.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 71.8% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 40.1% | 33.5% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.4% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 26.9% | 46.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.