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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University2.68+0.26vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.83+0.31vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.15-0.15vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.59+0.33vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.18+0.59vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-1.98-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.31McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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2.85Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.33Rochester Institute of Technology-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.59Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
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4.67Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dejean | 77.7% | 18.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 14.2% | 48.6% | 30.1% | 6.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hollett | 6.9% | 24.8% | 47.8% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Proctor | 0.6% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 39.2% | 36.0% | 9.1% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 16.0% | 73.4% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.4% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 29.3% | 44.5% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.