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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.83+1.32vs Predicted
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2Queen's University2.68-0.75vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.15-0.14vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.59+0.29vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-1.98-0.30vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.18-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
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1.25Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
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2.86Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
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4.29Rochester Institute of Technology-1.590.0%1st Place
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4.7Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.58Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Heldman | 14.0% | 48.7% | 29.7% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Dejean | 78.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hollett | 6.8% | 23.9% | 48.9% | 17.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Proctor | 0.6% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 41.3% | 34.2% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.5% | 2.1% | 7.2% | 27.0% | 43.8% | 19.4% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 7.3% | 18.6% | 71.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.