← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University0.15+1.88vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University2.68-0.76vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.83-0.67vs Predicted
-
4Mercyhurst University-1.98+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.59-0.64vs Predicted
-
6Penn State University-3.18-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88Queen's University0.150.1%1st Place
-
1.24Queen's University2.680.8%1st Place
-
2.33McGill University0.830.1%1st Place
-
4.61Mercyhurst University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
4.36Rochester Institute of Technology-1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.58Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hollett | 6.4% | 23.8% | 49.2% | 16.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Dejean | 78.7% | 18.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 13.7% | 49.1% | 29.3% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Hoover | 0.3% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 28.8% | 44.0% | 16.1% |
| Daniel Proctor | 0.8% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 39.8% | 34.0% | 11.3% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 18.1% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.