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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+8.78vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+5.09vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+4.94vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.87+3.86vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+0.41vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.89vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40+2.70vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-2.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.40vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-3.80vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-7.78vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-2.28vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.79+0.33vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.93-7.27vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.73-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.78Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.29University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.94Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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11.7College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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7.49Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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6.22Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.72Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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16.33University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 10.9% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 63.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.