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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+2.51vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.19+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.95-0.46vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.17-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.48vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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2.29Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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2.54University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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3.66Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.47Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 12.6% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 13.0% |
| Cameron Wallace | 35.5% | 27.5% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Scott McKinney | 28.1% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Michael Jarecki | 11.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 13.6% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 24.5% | 35.3% |
| Lauren Manney | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.