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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+0.97vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.17+1.17vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.28+0.03vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.05-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Queen's University1.190.5%1st Place
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3.17Penn State University0.170.2%1st Place
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3.03Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 45.6% | 28.6% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Michael Jarecki | 16.4% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 6.7% |
| Chris Trentham | 17.5% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 4.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 24.9% | 18.3% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 22.3% | 23.4% |
| Eric Elias | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.