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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+0.97vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.17+1.14vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.05+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.45-0.88vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.28-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Queen's University1.190.5%1st Place
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3.14Penn State University0.170.2%1st Place
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3.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.06Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 45.1% | 28.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Michael Jarecki | 16.3% | 22.2% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 17.7% |
| Eric Elias | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 45.3% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 24.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 17.5% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.