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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.17+2.43vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.19+0.17vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.45+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.95-2.47vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.55-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.17Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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4.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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4.42Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jarecki | 12.7% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 11.4% |
| Cameron Wallace | 39.3% | 26.0% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Manney | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 24.5% | 26.1% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 6.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 25.4% | 25.7% |
| Scott McKinney | 28.3% | 27.8% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 23.2% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.