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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.95+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.23vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.22vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-0.52vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.17-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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2.42University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.48Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.45Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 35.3% | 30.7% | 19.2% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Scott McKinney | 31.4% | 26.9% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 7.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 25.2% | 26.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 25.9% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 24.6% | 34.2% |
| Michael Jarecki | 13.4% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 18.3% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.