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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-0.45+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.95-0.61vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.17-0.57vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.70vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.55-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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3.43Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.44Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 36.8% | 29.8% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 26.0% | 25.7% |
| Scott McKinney | 31.0% | 26.1% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Jarecki | 14.0% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Manney | 5.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 28.6% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.