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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester0.95+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.26vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55+0.38vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.17-1.46vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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2.42University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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4.26University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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4.38Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.54Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 35.7% | 31.2% | 18.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Scott McKinney | 32.0% | 26.7% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 26.8% |
| Niall Shannon | 6.0% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 30.3% |
| Michael Jarecki | 11.6% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.