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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.17+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh-0.45+2.23vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.19-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.95-1.59vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.70vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.55-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Penn State University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Pittsburgh-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.11Queen's University1.190.4%1st Place
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2.41University of Rochester0.950.3%1st Place
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4.3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.47Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jarecki | 12.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| Geoffrey Wells | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Cameron Wallace | 41.3% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Scott McKinney | 28.7% | 29.5% | 21.8% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Manney | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 22.6% | 29.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.