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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.31+1.92vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.13+0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.68vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.40-1.06vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.03vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.05-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Rochester-0.310.2%1st Place
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2.35Queen's University0.130.3%1st Place
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2.32University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
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2.94Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.97Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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5.5Penn State University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilcullen | 17.8% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 29.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 31.3% | 25.5% | 24.2% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Stanley Galloway | 30.4% | 29.7% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Alec Wyers | 17.6% | 18.8% | 26.1% | 27.7% | 8.7% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 50.7% | 31.8% |
| Joshua Nale | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 26.6% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.