← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University0.13+1.39vs Predicted
-
2University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.31-0.11vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-3.05+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-0.40-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39Queen's University0.130.3%1st Place
-
2.32University of Pittsburgh0.140.3%1st Place
-
2.89University of Rochester-0.310.2%1st Place
-
4.93Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
-
5.5Penn State University-3.050.0%1st Place
-
2.98Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 29.9% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Stanley Galloway | 32.7% | 26.6% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 18.3% | 21.2% | 24.0% | 27.5% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 51.2% | 30.3% |
| Joshua Nale | 0.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 23.5% | 66.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 16.6% | 20.9% | 23.1% | 28.4% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.