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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.18+1.43vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.13+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.96vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.05+1.16vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.42vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.52-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Rochester-0.180.2%1st Place
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2.07Queen's University0.130.4%1st Place
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2.04University of Pittsburgh0.140.4%1st Place
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5.16Penn State University-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.58Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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4.72Syracuse University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartholomew Skala | 23.4% | 27.1% | 35.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 37.2% | 28.5% | 25.7% | 7.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stanley Galloway | 35.3% | 34.3% | 22.8% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Nale | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 16.6% | 26.3% | 50.3% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 30.1% | 33.2% | 23.2% |
| Elliot Taft | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 28.7% | 35.6% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.