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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+4.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+1.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.42+0.76vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.31vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+0.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.95-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.17-1.67vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.34-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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3.76Georgetown University3.420.2%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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4.94Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.31Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.7Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| William Logue | 14.2% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 19.5% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 17.7% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 23.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Porter Killian | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 25.0% |
| Ian Beckley | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.