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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+4.27vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+0.83vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+0.61vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.42-2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.61vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.16-1.67vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.34-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.61Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.69Georgetown University3.420.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.8% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| William Logue | 18.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 18.5% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Porter Killian | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 24.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 25.5% |
| Ian Beckley | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.