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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+4.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+1.93vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+1.72vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+2.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.17+0.30vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.34-0.98vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.42-4.31vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.93Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.72Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania2.170.0%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.340.1%1st Place
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3.69Georgetown University3.420.2%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
| William Logue | 14.2% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 24.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 20.8% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Porter Killian | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 23.0% |
| Ian Beckley | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.