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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+4.27vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+1.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+1.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.42-0.39vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.31vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.58vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.34-2.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.99Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.74Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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3.61Georgetown University3.420.2%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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5.03Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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5.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.340.1%1st Place
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6.31Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% |
| William Logue | 13.5% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 11.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 18.5% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 20.0% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| Porter Killian | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Ian Beckley | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 20.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.