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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.42+2.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+3.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.95+1.75vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+0.96vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.30vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39-2.28vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.34-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.17-1.71vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Georgetown University3.420.2%1st Place
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5.49George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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4.96Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.2%1st Place
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3.72Georgetown University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.340.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Pennsylvania2.170.1%1st Place
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6.34Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 17.5% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Matt Logue | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 19.7% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| William Logue | 18.9% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Ian Beckley | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| Porter Killian | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 25.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.