← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame1.04+1.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.34+1.52vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University0.49+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-0.34+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-0.33-0.55vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.53+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.16-0.97vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.37-1.69vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-2.74-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4University of Notre Dame1.040.4%1st Place
-
3.52University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.16Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
-
4.46Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
4.45Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
-
6.56Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
6.03Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.31Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.11Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 35.1% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 13.2% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 21.9% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Westlind | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 27.8% | 13.6% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 7.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 23.3% | 11.8% |
| Conor Burns | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.