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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+1.39vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-0.34+2.77vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.33+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49-0.91vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-1.87vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.53+0.59vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.37-0.64vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.16-2.02vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.74-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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4.77Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.59Grand Valley State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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6.59Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.98Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.11Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 34.0% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Westlind | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 20.4% | 20.3% | 23.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 21.7% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 29.5% | 13.4% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 25.0% | 10.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 8.1% |
| Conor Burns | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.