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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.49+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04-0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-0.56vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16+1.14vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.53+0.77vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.34-2.10vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-1.46vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.74-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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3.44Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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6.14Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.77Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.9Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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6.54Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.19Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 29.9% | 25.4% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 22.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 26.7% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 16.9% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 9.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 29.2% | 13.8% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 24.0% | 25.8% | 11.1% |
| Conor Burns | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.