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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+0.83vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.34-0.32vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16+1.11vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.53+0.75vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.34-2.14vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.74+0.21vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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2.83University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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3.49Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan0.340.1%1st Place
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6.11Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.75Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.86Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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8.21Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
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6.53Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 30.5% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 24.1% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 16.3% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan O'Connor | 14.3% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 8.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 30.8% | 12.8% |
| Henry Westlind | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Conor Burns | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 66.2% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 25.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.