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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+7.79vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.80+5.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+2.21vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35-0.23vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40+2.73vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71+0.74vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.43vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-5.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-5.49vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-6.16vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.79-0.63vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.36Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.73College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.74Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.71Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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16.37University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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12.62Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 65.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.