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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.85vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+5.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+2.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.06vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.20+5.19vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.03+4.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+0.24vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.43vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.36-3.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.44-0.38vs Predicted
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12Fordham University-0.32+1.07vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-6.69vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-3.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-7.00vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.22vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.9%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.315.9%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University1.9613.7%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy1.185.5%1st Place
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6.06Brown University1.6911.2%1st Place
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11.19Maine Maritime Academy0.202.9%1st Place
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11.57North Carolina State University-0.032.4%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University1.076.3%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.925.7%1st Place
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6.95Boston College1.368.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College0.442.9%1st Place
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13.07Fordham University-0.321.4%1st Place
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6.31Tulane University1.739.9%1st Place
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10.31University of Wisconsin0.363.6%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.187.4%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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13.38Boston University-0.480.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Winborne Majette | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 23.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.