← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northern Michigan University-0.34+3.90vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University1.18+0.65vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.49+0.53vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.49-0.53vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-2.74+3.15vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-1.37+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.53-0.19vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-1.16-1.75vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame1.04-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.9Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
2.65Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
-
3.53University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
-
3.47Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
8.15Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.5Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.81Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
6.25Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
2.73University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Westlind | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Liam Walz | 27.3% | 25.3% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 15.8% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 14.4% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Conor Burns | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 62.9% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 24.0% | 24.3% | 11.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 28.9% | 15.9% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 8.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 28.4% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.