← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University0.49+1.69vs Predicted
-
3Northern Michigan University-0.34+1.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.49-0.56vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame1.04-2.27vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-1.16+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Michigan State University-1.53-0.21vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.37-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-2.74-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
-
3.69Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
4.91Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.44University of Michigan0.490.2%1st Place
-
2.73University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
-
6.18Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.79Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
6.51Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.19Hope College-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 30.8% | 24.5% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Westlind | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 16.0% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 29.1% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 20.1% | 7.3% |
| Eva Rossell | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 20.2% | 31.7% | 13.4% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 11.8% |
| Conor Burns | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.