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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.00+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+0.42vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.71+1.22vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20-1.24vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.07vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.51-0.54vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.27-0.32vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-3.27-0.08vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.78-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Michigan0.000.2%1st Place
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2.42University of Notre Dame0.600.3%1st Place
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4.22Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.76Marquette University0.200.3%1st Place
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5.07Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.46Michigan State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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6.68Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.92Northern Michigan University-3.270.0%1st Place
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7.35Hope College-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ephraim | 19.8% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 31.0% | 29.0% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Turner | 25.9% | 22.1% | 23.5% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Robert Gustke | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 26.1% | 24.8% | 13.3% |
| Nicole Fassnacht | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 53.0% |
| Jake Overbeck | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 31.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.